Choose your weapon specialisation to fit the best weapons you have, but make sure that both weapons fit that spec. You shouldn't be using Nighttime with an OH dagger, because axes benefit from Hack and Slash, while daggers benefit from Close Quarters.
Close Quarters and Hack and Slash are pretty close, given equivalent weapons. Assuming your fist drop was Seven-Fingered Claws, it's on a par with Nighttime, so the deciding factor is likely to be the off-hand weapons you have available.
If you have an axe/sword that's clearly a lot better (fast, high DPS) then go Hack and Slash with Nighttime. If you've a better dagger/fist OH, go Close Quarters. If it's a close call, or you aren't sure how a really fast dagger compares to a slightly slower axe/sword, then yep, it's spreadsheet time!